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Home runs have made a comeback.
Consider this: After a 20-year stretch from 2002 to 2021 without a single 60-home-run season, we’ve now seen two in just the past four years.
And the 2026 MLB season is off to a powerful start as well.
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The Yankees’ Aaron Judge opened the year as the favorite once again, and once again, he is near the top of the home run leaderboard — but he’s not the leader.
Let’s check out the odds for who will lead MLB in home runs this season at Fanduel Sportsbook as of May 25.
Most regular-season home runs
Kyle Schwarber: -115 (bet $10 to win $18.70 total)
Aaron Judge: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)
Munetaka Murakami: +1100 (bet $10 to win $120 total)
Yordan Alvarez: +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total)
Ben Rice: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Matt Olson: +2700 (bet $10 to win $280 total)
Byron Buxton: +2700 (bet $10 to win $280 total)
James Wood: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Mike Trout: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Max Muncy: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Here’s what to know about this oddsboard:
The Favorite: Kyle is crushing again. The Phillies’ masher, as of May 25, is leading baseball in home runs (20), a few ahead of Aaron Judge and Munetaka Murakami, who are both at 17. Schwarber isn’t new to this. He led the NL in home runs in 2022 (46), hit 47 in 2023, and then led the NL again in 2025 (56). He’s now on pace to hit 61 this season.
Respect The Judge: The Yankees’ Judge has led MLB in home runs three times in his career, including twice since 2022. He set an AL record with 62 home runs in 2022, followed by an injury-shortened 2023 season in which he still hit 37 in 106 games. He then led the sport with 58 in 2024, and last season finished with 53, the fourth-highest total in the majors. After opening the season as the +350 favorite, he is now the +200 second choice. This season, he’s currently projected to land at 52, after he just put an end to an 11-game homer-less streak.
